俄羅斯為何無法守住蛇島

2個月前
俄羅斯為何無法守住蛇島

這個位於黑海西北部的小石塊在俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭的第一天就被占領了,此後它在戰爭中發揮了巨大的作用。

該島暴露在來自空中和海上各個方向的攻擊之下,負責防守的小規模駐軍--先是烏克蘭人,後來是俄羅斯人--被軍事專家描述為 "坐以待斃"。

這就解釋了為什麼克里姆林宮如此急切地想把防空系統和無線電電子戰引入蛇島。但它成為俄羅斯防禦的後勤噩夢,因為它離黑海的主要海軍基地太遠。

考慮到蛇島的戰略重要性,它已經被爭奪了幾個月,也考慮到自入侵以來俄羅斯武裝部隊在烏克蘭缺乏 "善意的姿態",這個版本的事件將說服俄羅斯以外的人。

但它不會實質性地改變戰爭的進程。俄羅斯的重點是征服整個頓巴斯東部地區,並堅守它在戰爭開始時奪取的南部其他地區。


This tiny, rocky outcrop in the north-west of the Black Sea was seized by Russia on the first day of its invasion of Ukraine, and it has played an outsized role in the war ever since.

The island is exposed to attacks from all directions from air and sea, and the small garrison tasked with defending it - first Ukrainians and later Russians - have been described as "sitting ducks" by military experts.

That explains why the Kremlin was so desperate to bring in anti-aircraft systems and radio-electronic warfare to Snake Island. But it became a logistical nightmare for Russia to defend because it was so far from its main naval bases in the Black Sea.

Considering the strategic importance of Snake Island, which has been fought over for months, and considering, too, the lack of "goodwill gestures" by the Russian armed forces in Ukraine since the invasion, this version of events will convince few outside Russia.

But it will not substantially change the course of the war. Russia's focus is on conquering the whole of the eastern Donbas and holding on to other areas of the south that it seized at the start of the war.

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