報告說，存在着 "不斷深化的成本壓力 "和 "沒有明確的戰略來了解護理部門的未來需求和挑戰"。
She said: "Without positive intervention, the current and worsening situation means that the commission cannot discount the real possibility of a future care system failure."
The report - Addressing Challenges and Risks in Social Care - said supply of care staff was failing to keep pace with demand caused by an ageing population.
The commission regulates care homes for people with a range of health and social care needs, care provided to people in their own homes, adult day care services and residential and other services for children and young people.
The report said there were "deepening cost pressures" and "no clear strategy to understand the future requirements and challenges of the care sector".
It said there was "a growing concern" that if a care provider was unable to continue operating, "the care sector in Jersey does not have capacity to pick up the shortfall".
It also said it was "concerned about several registered providers who are at increasing risk of breaching regulations and care standards".
The report said: "If the factors impacting on the workforce are not addressed there is a risk of increased destabilisation of the care sector, care needs not being met and at worse, a system wide failure where people cannot access the right care at the right time and in the right place."
The commission said the government should "consider how it can assist and support the care sector to deliver sustainable services taking into account the increasingly aging local community".